A report by the Financial Strategy Group, Citi Investment Banking Division
by Carsten Stendevad, Anil Shivdasani, Shams Butt, Dan Pakenham and Alfredo Bequillard
For the past year, firms around the world have been intently focused on preserving capital and reducing their reliance on external funding. As a result, managing working capital and accelerating cash conversion cycles have become a key strategic priority. Yet most firms have seen their cash conversion cycle lengthened over the past year. This reflects the difficulty of improving cash conversion cycles during severe economic downturns where firms recognize the need to support important suppliers and customers who may need working capital relief to survive.
To understand the long-term potential of accelerating cash conversion cycles, we undertook an in-depth analysis of 22 working capital-intensive industries, covering 828 of the largest global firms. Our main findings are:
- Almost half of the firms kept stable cash conversion cycles across five years, with only a quarter of firms improving their cycles by more than 25%.
- A small portion of firms saw dramatic changes to their working capital usage: 10% of firms shortened their conversion cycle by an impressive 81 days, a 50% improvement. Conversely, 10% of firms lengthened their cash conversion cycle by 83 days, a 124% deterioration.
- Improving the cash conversion cycle had a direct and positive impact on Return on Invested Capital with an increase of 84bps for the average firm. The top 10% of firms in terms of working capital improvement were able to outpace their peers in investment, sales, and earnings growth, and experienced a remarkable 30% excess stock return.
- Industries with complex supply chains and global operations typically have the largest potential for working capital savings. But even within industries, there is a surprising degree of disparity in working capital practices, suggesting large improvement potential for many companies.
Improving the cash conversion cycle requires firms to collect receivables faster from customers, keep inventories as low as possible, and get better payment terms from vendors. The main benefit of these actions is to reduce the need to fund working capital from bank lines or other external capital sources. An optimized cash conversion cycle enables firms to better manage complex supply chains, strengthen relationships with key vendors, distributors and clients, optimize purchasing processes to achieve larger discounts, and minimize invoicing and collection errors.
We found a highly statistically significant relationship between working capital improvement and improvements in interest coverage ratios.