Every corporate in recent years has recognised that producing timely, accurate and consistent cash flow forecasts is essential for liquidity risk management. While planning and budgeting are essential disciplines, cash flow forecasting is a vital early warning system to highlight early signs of financial distress and enables the company to respond to potential liquidity challenges and act on opportunities before they become critical to the business. In this article, Jukka Ryhänen, Group Treasurer of Finnish chemicals company Kemira, discusses his experience of optimising cash flow forecasting at his company.
Group treasury at Kemira fulfils a variety of functions within the company, particularly securing funding and liquidity while minimising risks and costs, and providing value-added services to business units, of which there are nearly 150. Cash flow forecasting is one element of this role, but one of the most difficult. Until 2000, like many multinationals, we were struggling to produce accurate forecasting in a consistent way, with multiple channels for collecting data, unpredictable timing and missing information. Forecast reports needed to be produced manually, which was time-consuming and prone to error. Our bank account structure was confused and although we had a cash pool in place to centralise cash as far as possible, we still had €50m in accounts outside the cash pool, which meant that our borrowing levels were higher than necessary, and our use of cash was not optimal.